← Back to Gold Dashboard

Gold | 1W Interval

ARIMA-powered multi-interval forecasting and signal history

MODEL: ARIMA Forecasting
LATEST PRICE
4,041.18
Price Action & Forecast Context
ARIMA
$4,039.93
Latest Run: 2026-07-19 22:00:00
Data Drift Score
Low (0.08)
A/B Testing Status
ARIMA (-476.90 pts)
ROI Projection
33.3% Win Rate
Interval
1W
Asset
Gold
System Status
● Optimal Performance

ARIMA Performance & Signal History

Signal Changeover History (ARIMA)
Loss: -476.90 pts
Historical Win Rate: 33.3%
Start Time End Time Duration Signal Start Price End Price Profit/Loss
2026-07-12 22:00:00 Active N/A SELL 4,018.44 --- ---
2026-06-18 22:00:00 2026-07-12 22:00:00 24d 0m BUY 4,155.57 4,018.44 -137.13
2026-06-07 22:00:00 2026-06-18 22:00:00 11d 0m SELL 4,218.97 4,155.57 +63.40
2026-05-24 22:00:00 2026-06-07 22:00:00 14d 0m BUY 4,538.16 4,218.97 -319.19
2026-05-17 22:00:00 2026-05-24 22:00:00 7d 0m SELL 4,508.93 4,538.16 -29.23
2026-05-03 22:00:00 2026-05-17 22:00:00 14d 0m BUY 4,713.56 4,508.93 -204.63
2026-04-26 22:00:00 2026-05-03 22:00:00 7d 0m SELL 4,614.22 4,713.56 -99.34
2026-04-19 22:00:00 2026-04-26 22:00:00 7d 0m BUY 4,708.62 4,614.22 -94.40
2026-04-05 22:00:00 2026-04-19 22:00:00 14d 0m SELL 4,746.90 4,708.62 +38.28
2026-03-29 22:00:00 2026-04-05 22:00:00 7d 0m BUY 4,676.86 4,746.90 +70.04
2026-03-08 22:00:00 2026-03-29 22:00:00 21d 0m SELL 5,018.10 4,676.86 +341.24
2026-03-02 00:00:00 2026-03-08 22:00:00 6d 22h 0m BUY 5,109.70 5,018.10 -91.60
2026-03-09 03:30:00 2026-03-02 00:00:00 --- SELL 5,095.37 5,109.70 -14.33
Full Signal History (ARIMA)
Time Close Predicted Signal Result Points MSE MAE Run ID
2026-07-19 22:00:00 4,052.60 4,039.93 SELL PENDING --- 1806501.2313 --- 2d7e012f
2026-07-12 22:00:00 4,018.44 4,009.06 SELL LOSS -34.16 1828989.8833 --- 4ea8a703
2026-07-02 22:00:00 4,120.35 4,126.04 BUY LOSS -101.91 1800641.9276 --- be074354
2026-06-18 22:00:00 4,088.87 4,089.65 BUY WIN +31.48 1771963.6342 --- a61e28e1
2026-06-18 22:00:00 4,155.57 4,158.84 BUY LOSS -66.70 1772933.9654 --- e0d23cb9
2026-06-07 22:00:00 4,218.97 4,188.88 SELL WIN +63.40 1811769.2206 --- 48d17f04
2026-05-31 22:00:00 4,328.92 4,332.09 BUY LOSS -109.95 1767389.3156 --- dc6dfd84
2026-05-24 22:00:00 4,538.16 4,555.71 BUY LOSS -209.24 1793047.3444 --- 468d1451
2026-05-17 22:00:00 4,508.93 4,474.02 SELL LOSS -29.23 1761625.5991 --- 9890fb7f
2026-05-10 22:00:00 4,539.39 4,554.28 BUY LOSS -30.46 1736919.6619 --- 1b777240
2026-05-03 22:00:00 4,713.56 4,739.98 BUY LOSS -174.17 1733124.9328 --- 56d47f24
2026-04-26 22:00:00 4,614.22 4,606.45 SELL LOSS -99.34 1661313.4906 --- 2bf20258
2026-04-19 22:00:00 4,708.62 4,708.72 BUY LOSS -94.40 1631281.5439 --- 8496c180
2026-04-12 22:00:00 4,837.49 4,796.71 SELL WIN +128.87 1614914.7929 --- 6948366e
2026-04-05 22:00:00 4,746.90 4,704.12 SELL LOSS -90.59 1595719.7902 --- e9f0838e
2026-03-29 22:00:00 4,676.86 4,732.01 BUY WIN +70.04 1587151.7012 --- d6177090
2026-03-22 22:00:00 4,493.12 4,455.23 SELL LOSS -183.74 1579446.4482 --- dc1197aa
2026-03-08 22:00:00 5,018.10 5,015.38 SELL WIN +524.98 1516637.7487 --- e1a8164d
2026-03-02 00:00:00 5,109.70 5,247.06 BUY LOSS -91.60 199802.0838 --- 7dcee601
2026-03-02 00:00:00 5,109.70 5,247.06 BUY LOSS -0.00 199802.0838 --- bc2259a5
2026-03-09 03:30:00 5,095.37 5,092.37 SELL LOSS -14.33 1518164.2497 --- ebc4f6ad
Discuss this model with our team

For strategy, integration, or research support: collaboration@quantbots.co

Talk to Quantbots